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Major projects are a big part of the story. Project cancellations in New Brunswick will remove important opportunities. In Nova Scotia there are numerous and smaller projects in government, manufacturing, utilities and resource initiatives that will prompt growth during the recovery. Jobs are created and labour markets impacted first by the start up of major construction projects and then by the operations of new manufacturing, mining, and utility facilities.
The economic cycle has been much more volatile in Newfoundland and Labrador. Weak exports and housing markets prompted a deep recession in 2009. But prospects for recovery are also good as there are several major projects planned that will boost the economy in 2010 and beyond. Production schedules for several major resource operations will also stop and start the provincial economy over the scenario period.
Demographic factors play a common role across all of Atlantic Canada. Older age profiles and very limited population growth will restrict each economy. Much will depend on immigration as a source of new workers. These demographic changes will reduce unemployment and limit recruiting opportunities for many employers. Tight labour markets will become more common.
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